Republican support - Long term trend down
Written by Professor David Flint AM   
Wednesday, 13 June 2012
 

 
Image ACM maintains a watching brief on relevant opinion polling. These are posted to our section on polling. This is a further report in that series.

ACM has often pointed out that support for a politician’s republic has been trending down for some years now.  

This has been demonstrated by a series of opinion polls from different sources. The following is from The Australian's Newspoll.
 
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With polling, is not unusual for a rogue poll to emerge which goes against the trend. The republicans made much of one they produced  at the time of the 10th anniversary of the referendum. Those who made much of this soon had egg on their face.

The leading conservative commentator, and confirmed republican, Dr. Gerard Henderson recently expressed surprise in The Sydney Moring Herald (12/6) at “ the extent to which the young Royals - particularly after William's wedding to the Kate Middleton - restored the popularity of the House of Windsor outside Britain.”

The trend was already well evident before the Royal Wedding.

Just prior to The Queen’s homecoming it in 2011, Roy Morgan Research agreed to present a paper on trends to our National Conference in Melbourne.   In addition, they took an opinion poll which indicated a low level of support for a republic.  This made news around the world.



...Newspoll....



Newspoll confirms the same trend. These polls have all been published in The Australian which in the nineties waged  a strong republican campaign.

There last poll in June 2011  confirms something we first detected even prior  to the referendum.  Support for a politicians’ republic is lower among the young than the middle aged.

 In most of its polls, Newspoll asks the following question which is about a vague undefined republic. It thus enables both of the two republican groups to record their support. 

 “NOW THINKING ABOUT WHETHER AUSTRALIA SHOULD BECOME A REPUBLIC, ARE YOU PERSONALLY IN FAVOUR OR AGAINST AUSTRALIABECOMING A REPUBLIC?”

No Newspoll has been taken this year. Here are the latest results, taken in June 2011. It is likely republican support would be lower today.   

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