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ACM Home arrow Opinion Polling arrow Republic support dives: Fairfax poll

Republic support dives: Fairfax poll Print E-mail
Written by ACM   
Sunday, 02 February 2014

"'We love the Queen,'' headlined the front page of the Sun-Herald

According to a Fairfax REACHTEL poll of a very large sample, support  for an Australian republic has collapsed to a 20-year low, with just 39.4 per cent of Australians saying they support a republic. The poll was reported in the Sun-Herald on to February, 2014 under the headline: "Republic support dives to 20 year low".

''That is a time bomb, I believe, for republicans, because you don't have that investment for the future,'' ACM's Professor Flint said, referring to the collapse in support for a republic to 35.6 per cent among 18 to 35 year olds. Only people aged over 65 had a lower rate of support (30.7 per cent) for Australia becoming a republic.

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...republic support to fall further...  

 

Professor Flint told Fairfax reporter Bianca Hall that in a referendum the republican vote would fall further once the republican  model was revealed and after people heard the argument against change. He said that previous experience also indicated the undecided move mainly to the No case.

He said this poll follows trends over the last few years and across the polls which indicate that support for a vague undefined republic is in the 30-40 percentile range. This would mean that in a referendum the yes vote would be significantly less, probably in the 20 to 35 percentile range.

He said this was confirmed by the polling focus groups that the political parties would be doing and explains why republican politicians do not push the issue in any serious way.

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...despite continuing setbacks, republic campaign to continue...

 

The poll was of 2146 with a margin of error of 2.1% Respondents were asked "Would you support Australia becoming a republic?''

Republican leader and the former Western Australian Premier Dr Geoff Gallop said: "Polls will come and go, but we've been encouraged by the support we've been getting, and our campaign will continue."

This poll exposes the republican movement's strategy of commissioning polls with questions which are hypothetical and irrelevant to produce a higher yes vote.  This is a political strategy which has proved a complete failure .

 

...Governor-General... 

 

 

 

 Respondents were also asked "Who would make the better Governor-General, Peter Cosgrove or Quentin Bryce? "

This was less than a week General Cosgrove was named next Governor-General.

57.1% preferred General Cosgrove and 42.9% Ms.Quentin Bryce.

In November, Ms Bryce said she hoped the nation would evolve into a country where same-sex marriage was legal, "and where perhaps, friends, one day, one young girl or boy may even grow up to be armed nations first  head of state.''

The Prime Minister, Mr Tony Abbott, ACM's first executive director, came to her defence. He said: "It's more than appropriate for the Governor-General, approaching the end of her term, to express a personal view.''

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