| Will the US administration learn? |
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| Written by Professor David Flint AM | ||||
| Monday, 14 September 2009 | ||||
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The accusations of fraud in the Afghan election, and the rise in the insurgency will be of concern especially to the powers with troops there. The UN-backed Electoral Complaints Commission (ECC), which has overall responsibility for the investigation, has ordered the country’s Independent Election Commission (IEC) to conduct a comprehensive audit of its staff amid allegations that they were complicit in the fraud. The ECC also ordered a partial recount. A British official told Jerome Starkey in Kabul (The Times 14/9): “If there’s going to be a recount done properly then they need to look at the staff as well, because in a lot of cases the fraud was being done by the IEC officials.” .
The problem is not that the powers, especially the United States, have behaved unconscionably. Of the dominant world powers over the centuries, the two English speaking ones, Great Britain and then the United States, have been the most benign. Of course neither has been perfect. For the foreseeable future the United States will remain the overwhelmingly dominant power. As others emerge or re-emerge, she will probably still lead them in a concert of powers, as Great Britain did in the nineteenth century, using the balance of power to impose her leadership. The often too rigid machinery of the Security Council will be used when possible and convenient. But the US, whether led by the Democrats or Republicans, will avoid submitting to the likelihood of a great power veto whenever it is in her interests, as President Clinton clearly demonstrated. It is alright to create a myth for domestic purposes, the danger is you actually begin to believe it. The sanitised mystic version of the American republic has been unwisely used as a model with universal appeal. It is not. Unlike the Westminster system, it has never worked for long outside of the United States where, the civil war apart, it does work, even if it is too rigid in times of crisis. (If you doubt that think of the impeachment process, and contrast it to the vote of no confidence in the Westminster system.) ![]() [ The Capitol, Washington DC ] So too often US administrations have rushed to recreate in occupied territories some almost instant constitutional mirror image of the United States. They have not paid attention to others, especially the British who in these things are the most experienced. While they have had their failures, the British had been more successful than most. A pity the Japanese lesson was not followed in Iraq. Prince Andrew has argued much of the post-invasion chaos in Iraq could have been avoided if President George W. Bush's administration had listened more to the British. After all, he told The New York Times, British views had been sought - "it's not as if we had been forcing that across the Atlantic." Stephen Castles reported that the Prince’s view that is there is quite a lot of British experience which is valid and should be listened to is widely shared in Britain. Geoff Hoon, the former British defence secretary, has said that British views on Iraq were ignored in the decisions to outlaw the Baath Party and dissolve the Iraqi military. ![]() [ US Supreme Court...exportable?]
Meanwhile the situation in Afghanistan is dire. There was one golden period in this sad country. This reminded me of conversation I had in a taxi in Sydney last year. The driver told me he came from Afghanistan, a country he said was in “a terrible mess.” He said that the best time for Afghanistan was under the King Zahir Shah. His reign marked the longest of stability known to Afghanistan, that is between 1933 and 1973. The King had turned Afghanistan into a constitutional monarchy, with democratic elections to a parliament, civil rights, and women’s liberation. My driver said things were going very well until a failed politician, Mohammed Daoud Khan, staged a coup d'état and declared Afghanistan a republic while the King was in Europe for an operation. This was the beginning of the disaster, a dictatorship, the Soviet invasion and the rule of the Taliban. In a recent comment on this point in The Christian Science Monitor “Democracy in Afghanistan is wishful thinking” (20/8), , Thomas H. Johnson and M. Chris Mason, say the tragic mistake, “which we warned against, was in eliminating the Afghan monarchy from a ceremonial role in the new Afghan Constitution.” The same US and UN policymakers then rode shotgun over the constitutional process,eliminating the monarchy entirely. This they say was the Afghan equivalent of the 1964 Diem Coup in Vietnam with the result that there was no possibility of creating a stable secular government. The fact is that an American cannot declare himself king and be seen as legitimate: monarchy is not a source of legitimacy of governance in America. They say the same principle applies in Afghanistan. There a man cannot be voted president in Afghanistan and be perceived as legitimate. While representative democracy is not a source of legitimacy in Afghanistan, the King would have been. In this country the alternative seems to be “a religious source of legitimacy.” The obsession of the bush advisors into making Afghanistan an instant US style democracy has backfired. Instead the legitimacy vacuum has been filled by the Taliban. It was not enough that the Americans allowed the king to be declared “Father of the Nation.“ A benign symbol of legitimacy, and of leadership beyond politics, he should have been restored. As we reported here, “Afghan King farewelled,” 31 July 2007, he died on 23 July, 2007. My taxi driver’s opinion that the Afghan constitutional monarchy was a golden period was confirmed recently by American diplomat, Peter Tomsen.. In a report by Kevin Howe in the Monterey Herald on 29 August, 2008, he said : “Afghanistan enjoyed 45 years as a monarchy progressing toward democracy before a failed communist coup in 1978, followed by the Russian invasion in 1979 to bolster the "revolution." “The invasion and resulting insurgency, destroyed what had been built up over 45 years.” Will future American administrations learn that massive force followed by imposing the US model may not work? ![]() [ King Zahir Shah ]
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